tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-83851085837057919642024-03-12T20:24:34.496-04:00Apple Creek Acres NewsThis blog delivers timely information and updates to residents of Apple Creek Acres in Haywood County, NC. Be it road conditions, weather, community watch alerts, news from the Board, and much more, you'll find the updates here. FYI, this blog is not run by the ACA homeowners association; it's just a resident's personal effort to keep everyone informed....because I can and I care. I love it here. :-)Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.comBlogger698125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-10274750132473738462024-03-01T12:09:00.011-05:002024-03-01T12:43:01.096-05:00WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3PM TODAY<p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidHTz3eu8zWyeuWz0wVLhnyp2aQdjabDO8WfhQR2fQ2M8sBq1u-Bc73f-TgLI_4B7e-CJhoRrhLt5qrAIADybw1RoLUj1hybvkTX9Q3czWSxf7iNha9XHWVdpm4aZmbTcSZJj9KhxcqtJG6r_JJ7EdUq1PTRqR91uEmnm-UFBPCXo8ksnCZ-83wq8Sl4s/s1555/1000026374-01.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1555" data-original-width="1217" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidHTz3eu8zWyeuWz0wVLhnyp2aQdjabDO8WfhQR2fQ2M8sBq1u-Bc73f-TgLI_4B7e-CJhoRrhLt5qrAIADybw1RoLUj1hybvkTX9Q3czWSxf7iNha9XHWVdpm4aZmbTcSZJj9KhxcqtJG6r_JJ7EdUq1PTRqR91uEmnm-UFBPCXo8ksnCZ-83wq8Sl4s/w313-h400/1000026374-01.jpeg" width="313" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Icing on Edison light @1230pm today</td></tr></tbody></table><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;">Been sitting at 30/31 degrees for several hours here at the end of Staymon, and vegetation has a nice coating of ice, especially any evergreens, which are drooping down into the roads. The National Weather Service posted our area in the advisory which you can read about </span><a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=2%20Miles%20SW%20Crabtree%20NC&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=35.5782&lon=-82.9645" style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;" target="_blank">HERE</a><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;">. Icing is most evident above the double hairpin curves, elevation-wise. We need a lot of things, but a third consecutive day of power outages isn't one of them.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Hopefully, the temp will creep upward this afternoon and avert any problems. The roads are fine, just be careful on your decks and stairs.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-49531398029751896902024-02-28T04:35:00.009-05:002024-02-28T04:37:28.734-05:00WIND ADVISORY AND STUFF<p></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_K5fWESfFUfxAURTpjB3CkM1DxjCE2NqvsV0rlvmhhn1rYjp8AVGUJSaNqww9pfrkkf6Xi-JJrurQA0D2M-sN5PEtO4hCQdUzo1FWqx9P3a2_IDmuxBLUexu2qA0SfidA3J1bqAs1oa-n8rC4V3oVPIh9Uhn1Z7jQ4UIT82PbknL3SB0nm5MHBr2cIzU/s2717/IMG_20170122_181222_703%20(2)-SharpenAI-focus.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1857" data-original-width="2717" height="274" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_K5fWESfFUfxAURTpjB3CkM1DxjCE2NqvsV0rlvmhhn1rYjp8AVGUJSaNqww9pfrkkf6Xi-JJrurQA0D2M-sN5PEtO4hCQdUzo1FWqx9P3a2_IDmuxBLUexu2qA0SfidA3J1bqAs1oa-n8rC4V3oVPIh9Uhn1Z7jQ4UIT82PbknL3SB0nm5MHBr2cIzU/w400-h274/IMG_20170122_181222_703%20(2)-SharpenAI-focus.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Repost of Ring-neck drake at Lake Junaluska years ago, Click to enlarge.</td></tr></tbody></table><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;"><br /></span><p></p><p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Such a scientific word, "stuff", eh? We all enjoyed a 4-hour power outage last night, and with more strong wind slated for this afternoon through tomorrow mid-day, it could happen again. </span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> This area has a lot of dead/dying/weakened ash and locust trees that more easily come down in strong winds. </span></span><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;">A Wind Advisory is in place for ACA from 1pm today for a 24-hour period. Click </span><a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=2%20Miles%20N%20Lake%20Junaluska%20NC&product1=Wind+Advisory&lat=35.5597&lon=-82.9757" style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;" target="_blank">HERE</a><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;"> for details.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">As our precipitation ends tonight, temps will plummet well down into the 20s, but at least the cold temps soon mitigate after one day.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">In retrospect, thank goodness our surface temps stayed above 32 degrees with all the snow that was falling last Saturday. I was fine with that!</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Ah, and Leap Year is here as tomorrow is Feb. 29. If you are wondering when leap years occur, divide any year by four. If it divides cleanly, then it's a Leap Year. The history of a Leap Year goes FAR back in time, in case you were wondering. Click <a href="https://time.com/4237292/leap-year-leap-day-history/" target="_blank">HERE</a> for a good article on it from TIME.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Daylight Saving is just around the corner, but not this weekend. It will be the following weekend, March 10.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">That's all the news from Lake Wobegon, saddle pals.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana;">Bob</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-78306411686852964602024-02-24T07:26:00.004-05:002024-02-24T07:26:49.341-05:00HERE WE GO AGAIN....<p> <table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMAGlYvk_NuUmMfrrRpEdLJasBwq_2H6fOdRZwoOM6q18jWOvX8_3116YtlO2BCG1v-sbD2hb62oxlIlv3LTW2DFyPrw3YqcLtFu4BfrFWITOXDsnSqyZc-9BuBBbrvN066YHPgNPEOH5_WOkzuJeNI7AxrgCTS-Guq6RbduiuAm4mVkneoDprc6QZ07k/s3892/1000026004-01.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1258" data-original-width="3892" height="129" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMAGlYvk_NuUmMfrrRpEdLJasBwq_2H6fOdRZwoOM6q18jWOvX8_3116YtlO2BCG1v-sbD2hb62oxlIlv3LTW2DFyPrw3YqcLtFu4BfrFWITOXDsnSqyZc-9BuBBbrvN066YHPgNPEOH5_WOkzuJeNI7AxrgCTS-Guq6RbduiuAm4mVkneoDprc6QZ07k/w400-h129/1000026004-01.jpeg" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Dawn 2/18/2024 from the end of Staymon Rd.</td></tr></tbody></table><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">A quick-hitting band of snow showers will cross our area later this afternoon and evening. Strong winds will once again accompany this clipper, but those winds will also limit accumulations.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Speaking of accumulations, this is yet another piddly amount that may not accumulate in the valleys or lower ACA (outside of a dusting). The higher portions of Apple Creek could get 0.25"-0.75" on the ground if a couple of the models verify.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">The wind and temperatures could limit accumulations. I woke up to 36 degrees on Staymon, so the roads should not become an issue unless there is a temporary coating from a heavy burst. Temps will fall later this afternoon en route to a cold start for Sunday.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">The good news is that we'll have unusually mild weather next week, with the possibility of strong thunderstorms nearby Wednesday. The polar jet stream is finally starting to wobble our way after exiting northern Europe, so we'll have to see if it pays us a visit sometime in March.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">(raising a glass of wine...) Salut!</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-70292019854381541652024-02-16T13:17:00.000-05:002024-02-16T13:17:32.186-05:00LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS BY MORNING<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"> "Light" is the operative word. A quick hitting shot of cold air will be in place Saturday before starting to rebound some Sunday. There is very little moisture with tonight's cold front, but the cold air will most likely squeeze out some wintry mix precipitation through Saturday morning. I don't foresee any road issues given our temperate days of late. Any accumulations would be insignificant.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Winter is far from over, and we all cringe over a potential late freeze to plants and crops. But after getting last month's Duke Energy bill, I'll take all the milder weather I can get. Just not tomorrow....</span></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Bob</p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-20129212358886962682024-01-30T17:52:00.007-05:002024-01-30T17:52:58.842-05:00LIGHT NW FLOW TONIGHT<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">There really are no big changes to what I wrote early this morning. Technically, there is in place a HWO (Hazardous Weather Outlook), but no winter advisories or warnings like last time (which didn 't matter to a hill of beans). It calls for 1-2" above 3500' (upper ACA), one of those things that makes one yawn over the sameness of so many little events this season.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Ah, but we know what a little snow on the roads can do to safety. The ground is warm from today, so I'm not anticipating serious road issues for ACA. Lows only around 28-31, with highs trying to reach 38-42, so any accumulations would be melting as sun returns. And from there we only warm up this week, so this is really a baby event...though I'll reserve judgment until I'm sure we don't get a surprise 2"+. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">If needed, I'll update early early Wednesday morning. Like 4am if not earlier.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-73767732585363650362024-01-30T04:13:00.002-05:002024-01-30T04:13:54.807-05:00LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT?<p> <span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Another winter nuisance event will pass through overnight into early Wednesday morning. As I type at 415am, there is no Advisory or even a Hazardous Weather Outlook put out for ACA, but it's a little NW flow event that could lay down an inch or two in upper ACA.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">For now, just a heads up. I'll clarify and adjust later this afternoon.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-71284103712503390422024-01-29T07:23:00.006-05:002024-01-29T07:25:05.279-05:00ROAD/WEATHER UPDATE<div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6dXXoR_ruK7qWQscxgMjk3_xhbOO9QG0uIRvFnTQ5uLd8MffMHGl7BHFOiJEthDtPyZmKmWFsOXkIvapIQ4p4AVapUKcVsyF0WSEX3ITE2GRZQafcYzeaPWfoKRTvT8ODfBMQRBQjCntk_nOoTheHBCD8WActugrVPwtaWL6_gihBuIfEz5De1hXDF1E/s3690/1000025645-01.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1868" data-original-width="3690" height="203" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6dXXoR_ruK7qWQscxgMjk3_xhbOO9QG0uIRvFnTQ5uLd8MffMHGl7BHFOiJEthDtPyZmKmWFsOXkIvapIQ4p4AVapUKcVsyF0WSEX3ITE2GRZQafcYzeaPWfoKRTvT8ODfBMQRBQjCntk_nOoTheHBCD8WActugrVPwtaWL6_gihBuIfEz5De1hXDF1E/w400-h203/1000025645-01.jpeg" width="400" /></a></div><span style="font-family: verdana;"><div style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-size: medium;">Thanks to a lousy communication delay from the school system, I went ahead down Apple Creek Road around 5:20am, only to find out at the bottom that school was closed. Oh well, into town to get gas and a few groceries...except stores don't open until 6am, 7a for Food Lion. Oh well.</span></span></div><div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I came back up to Staymon Road around 630am and here is what I encountered.</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">32 degrees at the gate. minor snow amounts on non-road surfaces, road clear.</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">31 degees around the blue roof house (3500'), and the higher you go the more snow there is.</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Double hairpins: snowy, first big area for that. From there to Staymon there were passages of white, but I never slipped (4WD, etc.)</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I can't speak for the roads past Staymon, sorry!</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">30 degrees at Staymon and snowing. But for those on Staymon, it is exceptionally clear on the slope (read wide dark paths for tires), and then all snow covered on the flat past Dean's. My driveway was covered and slick as a trout so I parked at the bottom and walked up.</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">That's all my news from Lake Wobegon. Be careful...temps should warm some later today and get rid of any road issues.</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana;">Bob</span></div></div>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-50947113682239834612024-01-27T15:57:00.001-05:002024-01-27T15:57:17.960-05:00WINTER STORM WARNING POSTED<p> <span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">A WINTER STORM WARNING has been posted for Haywood County for elevations 3500 - 4500' (upper ACA) for 2-6 inches of a wintry 'mix' of precipitation. Click <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=3%20Miles%20SW%20Crabtree%20NC&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=35.5782&lon=-82.9757" target="_blank">HERE</a> for the official wording. 6-9" for elevations above 4500', but ACA tops out around 4000'. The warning starts at noon Sunday and continues through noon Monday.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Interestingly, the NWS is seeing something I'm not seeing in my modeling, be it the NAM, GFS, and EURO. I was thinking maybe 1-2" tops for upper ACA, so I was a bit surprised to see the warning and amounts come across my phone.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">This will be a NW flow event as cold air and wrap-around moisture move in behind a cold front. Good news we get cold air but not a super deep freeze. Still, the concern is that this won't be pure snow, so icy 'stuff' will work in, complicating road conditions here. And we had a LOT of complications with the last event.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I'll be here on the mountain and will update as needed, be it Sunday afternoon or Monday morning.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana;">Bob</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p> </p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-65822379966294723172024-01-18T06:36:00.001-05:002024-01-18T06:36:20.768-05:00WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Here we go again...</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">A lot of us are still dealing with the copious snow up high, but now comes in a system that is messy and accumulating, possibly like we just experienced.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">There is one key difference: this Advisory starts at 7pm tonight and is in effect for 36 hours, until 7am Saturday. Click <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=2%20Miles%20NNE%20Lake%20Junaluska%20NC&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=35.5277&lon=-82.9766" target="_blank">HERE</a> to read the official statement.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Friday's temps fall, probably as dramatic as they did Tuesday morning. Single digit lows are once again expected Saturday morning.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">This is not a nice snow event as sleet, freezing rain, and some rain will be mixing in, to create a slippery mess.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I'll update as needed with new information.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-67961886044541459192024-01-16T17:32:00.009-05:002024-01-16T17:33:31.933-05:00APPLE CREEK ROAD<p><span style="font-size: medium;"> <span style="font-family: verdana;">Apple Creek Road has been plowed and salted with a hybrid salt, but not sure it will work down to the single digits tonight. Mind you, Apple Creek Road is not clear where there was snow/ice, so take it slowly. </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">If Staymon was any indication, side roads were not plowed.</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> </span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I was amazed this morning looking down into the valley to see no snow whatsoever down there...it was an elevation snow, and the rain/snow line was where the heaviest dumping occured in upper Apple Creek Acres. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">But wait, folks....that's not all...</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Thursday night is yet another round of wintry precipitation. More on that Wednesday afternoon/evening.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-28832280096286979162024-01-16T07:39:00.005-05:002024-01-16T09:29:12.025-05:00ROAD UPDATE TO COME...<div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEowgTdbwKLjsddVhMPQoIGZTvR0LDMMNrEZIeiyAirrKGIkNtSzKniRzr4hyphenhyphenmCexY60Q-Qh-bxAZF64gad6o7fAuJmsJpkv8bjLLZbbTygpFnSP8FGszIlI2y_eDLVM17iFXXqWLX6_1t92waeyOwyZ5e5hVTaWHiOA9LoyfWKYY9g0qM6S9kYC_kQ4U/s4000/20240115_175231.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4000" data-original-width="1868" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEowgTdbwKLjsddVhMPQoIGZTvR0LDMMNrEZIeiyAirrKGIkNtSzKniRzr4hyphenhyphenmCexY60Q-Qh-bxAZF64gad6o7fAuJmsJpkv8bjLLZbbTygpFnSP8FGszIlI2y_eDLVM17iFXXqWLX6_1t92waeyOwyZ5e5hVTaWHiOA9LoyfWKYY9g0qM6S9kYC_kQ4U/w186-h400/20240115_175231.jpg" width="186" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">End of Staymon, ~4"</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Ended up with around 4" of heavy wet snow on top of heavy sleet/slush here at home. I was surprised that we didn't have a power outage, given the weight of the snow, so counting our blessings for that.</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><span style="background-color: #fcff01;">(new) In 2 hours my temp has dropped from 34 to 22 degrees. Cold is arriving, to say the least</span>. AND....</span><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">ACA is in a Wind Chill Advisory from 2pm today through noon Wednesday. Dangerously cold wind chills incoming...read <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=3%20Miles%20SW%20Crabtree%20NC&product1=Wind+Chill+Advisory&lat=35.5782&lon=-82.9757" target="_blank">HERE</a>.<br /></span><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">When I get word about plowing, etc., I'll post it here. Keep in mind that with tonight's projected low somewhere around 4 degrees, our road salt will be ineffective at that temperature. Salt you buy at Walmart, Lowes, etc. will work around your house, but the road salt doesn't work when temps are below the 20s.</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">With that said, get your shoveling done before the deep freeze hits. Stay tuned....</span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Bob</span></div></div>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-58391251020823677622024-01-15T13:53:00.006-05:002024-01-15T13:54:49.498-05:00APPLE CREEK ROAD: TROUBLE<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I just made a run to the trash facility and back, and the changes, as in deterioration, were dramatic. 34 at the bottom, 32 at the double hairpins, and 31 on Staymon and dropping. Road is white-covered and very slippery...and I was in bulldog gear and snow mode, and I STILL started sliding above the upper hairpin where the road begins to level out. I BARELY made it up Staymon and then didn't even attempt my driveway. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">This is wet snow on top of wet sleet/slush, a lose-lose proposition.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">The rapidity of the worsening road was quite eye-opening. While we dodged the first part early this morning with surface temps too warm to accumulate much of anything, that has now changed as we won't see 32 until Thursday afternoon (though some in partial sun or down low could Wednesday afternoon).</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Stay off the roads is my advice. It was okay on Mauney, but it's a matter of time as temps drop.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-53900031938319487742024-01-14T05:40:00.006-05:002024-01-14T05:41:13.597-05:00WEATHER WOES INCOMING<p></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhDkcWbeC_pJjsUehpTrZJKJPMiLeoInuN2lNnWjExS5TL_7WEtoOBksfI5WcEPLYTP91gPDgh7jKKLgTF1cb0aoo4YVuxHuj6T6yj50b_DE0FUWuECvIUH5y3P7I80u4Z4zrju5YOWcTraJptOepGZc3EBHeOqvBevld2i_SK3qC_UJUXEUcWtbFC5jKo/s354/gsp.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="274" data-original-width="354" height="310" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhDkcWbeC_pJjsUehpTrZJKJPMiLeoInuN2lNnWjExS5TL_7WEtoOBksfI5WcEPLYTP91gPDgh7jKKLgTF1cb0aoo4YVuxHuj6T6yj50b_DE0FUWuECvIUH5y3P7I80u4Z4zrju5YOWcTraJptOepGZc3EBHeOqvBevld2i_SK3qC_UJUXEUcWtbFC5jKo/w400-h310/gsp.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Haywood is the County left of "A" in Asheville, FYI</td></tr></tbody></table><p></p><p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Once again, I'm not posting to talk about 4" of snow that will fall in an event and be done...we can't be that lucky. What's coming in starting after midnight tonight are bands of precipitation that will have sleet, then snow, then rain/snow, then snow/sleet, then rain/snow, all very spread out and not at once. B</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">y Wednesday are the coldest temperatures we've seen this winter, with projected lows Wednesday morning in the single digits.</span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: verdana;">We are currently in a Winter Weather Advisory from 1am Monday through 7am Tuesday. If that changes, I'll update...from the above map you can see east TN is going to catch more of the wintry weather, so if you have to head into TN be very aware of that. Click </span><a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=3%20Miles%20SSE%20Cove%20Creek%20NC&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=35.569&lon=-82.9982" style="font-family: verdana;" target="_blank">HERE</a><span style="font-family: verdana;"> to read the current advisory as I type at 5:20am.</span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Whatever sticks Monday into Tuesday stays, which I expect to be snow on top of sleet/ice. There could be some slight melting Monday afternoon, but that may make for an icier surface on roads. Once we dip bvelow 32 degrees Monday late afternoon, a lot of us won't see temps above 32 degrees until Thursday afternoon. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">The wildcard in all of this (besides NFL wilcard games!) is how much will accumulate. The models have been trying to nail down jello with this glop, and the advisory takes a broad brush and goes 1-4". For Apple Creek, my favored 'looks' are in the 1-2" range by Tuesday 7am, with 3-4" very close by. The trend the past 48 hours has been for the snow amounts to increase along the TN border areas, so I'm preparing just in case it gets a little heavier.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">My biggest concern will be the roads and the level of iciness under any accumulations. Roads will be VERY slow to improve in this type of event, and I'm talking a couple of days. I doubt there will be enough to warrant plowing, but I'm suiting up my UTV today just in case. My hope is it won't be that bad, but I'm skeptical at this point.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I'll update late this afternoon if I see significant changes to the above, and I'll be here for all of our fun and frivolity.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">..</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-44463727157165199932024-01-10T07:00:00.005-05:002024-01-10T07:02:10.332-05:00WEDNESDAY A.M. UPDATE<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBvM4PH5wN6WQXwwlBxCFrdoeKr5kzaxv5N7cn5ug2WEmK_b-Tu5I446EsMRlar27Xo2zBEfBVmb92x2FJT5YuXcK8_x7hCuPnZxWtATvRbws_4ttvdpxeYwtS4vhyGxBLrWSC9vrKz3c1rpcllwcWSFhEf8tOgZSt_s-WQ5IAcHeOecQahSyzymeokRU/s435/AA1lPn4h.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="435" data-original-width="313" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBvM4PH5wN6WQXwwlBxCFrdoeKr5kzaxv5N7cn5ug2WEmK_b-Tu5I446EsMRlar27Xo2zBEfBVmb92x2FJT5YuXcK8_x7hCuPnZxWtATvRbws_4ttvdpxeYwtS4vhyGxBLrWSC9vrKz3c1rpcllwcWSFhEf8tOgZSt_s-WQ5IAcHeOecQahSyzymeokRU/w288-h400/AA1lPn4h.jpg" width="288" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"></td></tr></tbody></table><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">With 1" of snow, tops, here on Staymon, and 25 degrees, my concern is for any ice underneath. I don't need to tell you that yesterday's heavy rains started to cause problems with regional creeks and rivers, especially toward Cruso. And where you have seeps or springs that were continually pushing out water onto roads, those areas are sheer ice...now covered in snow. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I have zero idea what Apple Creek Road is like, but we have several spots where there is surely ice underneath. When I get any information, I'll post it here, but a lot of folks seem to use the Facebook page to do so as it's an easier interface for real-time commentary. FB link is <a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/265323127798634" target="_blank">HERE</a>.</span></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Bob</p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-55027334503242541892024-01-08T04:31:00.005-05:002024-01-08T04:33:39.709-05:00HANG ON TO YOUR HATS....NO REALLY<p> <span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Mr. Toad's Wild Ride is coming to town starting this evening and running through Wednesday morning, to the tune of strong winds and a chance for light wintry precipitation in the predawn hours of Tuesday and Wednesday. </span></p><p></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbF-ZhNeH9s2_dXInEjOht7N4qrRfnU-x0lHzaKthn8LvsboOKvYGfgpE2VNJIz_WaNSQwF0vkGlPypQ8aJMQKqdLB7W4yXxJId9aNl-H68K3cnygwKVd-wXBbpL56rUXgyu6NU8k5u__4bfXOgVQ8i5r1_7i2Tq62NiU4StcjyS2nou_FBEOje1KREWg/s4000/20240107_132548.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1868" data-original-width="4000" height="186" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbF-ZhNeH9s2_dXInEjOht7N4qrRfnU-x0lHzaKthn8LvsboOKvYGfgpE2VNJIz_WaNSQwF0vkGlPypQ8aJMQKqdLB7W4yXxJId9aNl-H68K3cnygwKVd-wXBbpL56rUXgyu6NU8k5u__4bfXOgVQ8i5r1_7i2Tq62NiU4StcjyS2nou_FBEOje1KREWg/w400-h186/20240107_132548.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Sunday aftenoon, and the ultra-light AM snow hung on</td></tr></tbody></table><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;"><br /></span><p></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">First, I was amazed that our expected light, light snow shower early Sunday morning (which at home here on Staymon was only about 0.1") covered absolutely everything, including the driveway. And it stayed all day thanks to our shaded NE exposure.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">A potent storm system will arrive tonight bringing with it a High Wind Warming for those above 3500' and a Wind Advisory below 3500'. Whether we get the potential gusts approaching hurricane force winds remains to be seen, but what works a bit in our favor is that the winds will be out of the S/SE, which means Laurel Ridge blocks the brunt of it. You can read the advisories <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=2%20Miles%20SSE%20Cove%20Creek%20NC&product1=Hazardous+Weather+Outlook&lat=35.6064&lon=-83.0114" target="_blank">HERE</a>.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Both early Tuesday and Wednesday mornings there is a chance for some precipitation to be wintry in nature, be it snow or a wintry mix. Winds will help preclude accumulations of any note, but may make for slippery surfaces. It's very little if it is measurable, just suffice it to say it's a trypical 'heads up' for the next couple of days. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I'll be staged for power outages and potentially trees down across the road just in case. So if someone tells you to go fly a kite, get one that has a Kevlar reinforced frame and some rope instead of string...and let me know how that works out for you... :-)</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-51630979413626573642024-01-05T16:05:00.002-05:002024-01-05T16:05:45.561-05:00WE'RE THE BENCHWARMERS, NOW...<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhop3iuO2fYEqaITeRt3UlAufjVsYNwG7Rjwveep4ocSHiYT9cyK5yZjSX8jLdKVCBhaONAv_romP2fIURBEdSxilr-Vv6igF1dG88F9DWG9todAuK_jCvHpBkcgwZ71PDsEKIgGb-HpIszE55aTTOPayhR2PaX_VdlkT2IwZ19gk9At6g7rHTQpqQ0Uhg/s1284/9422.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1234" data-original-width="1284" height="308" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhop3iuO2fYEqaITeRt3UlAufjVsYNwG7Rjwveep4ocSHiYT9cyK5yZjSX8jLdKVCBhaONAv_romP2fIURBEdSxilr-Vv6igF1dG88F9DWG9todAuK_jCvHpBkcgwZ71PDsEKIgGb-HpIszE55aTTOPayhR2PaX_VdlkT2IwZ19gk9At6g7rHTQpqQ0Uhg/s320/9422.jpeg" width="320" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: verdana;"><i>A little snow humor for y'all...</i></span></b></td></tr></tbody></table><br /><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Looks like Haywood County (yellow dot, below) will be sitting this one out, in terms of any substantial wintry mix or light icing late tonight into Saturday morning. Even the snow component has disappeared for ACA, or if it makes an appearance, it will be short-lived. Rain ultimately rules, after some sleet and freezing rain.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjf64eKIOTs1YBE6pleXX73ipFV_K_mJ1hBiYivCGoJhaN_sgSXyxD4ZZCjw4ZPmEjxDXOQbiKnd5Ecz6W1vn7WfIflNJcbgQxMVG27ssgdtJ5GoE6aVkDz-75ckmCFBx99RGI0i_p-cUZQAl200WOd8tNfwgK_QfRzFtRUsrns9Xqy4A4khf4ELCvevy0/s893/map.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="691" data-original-width="893" height="310" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjf64eKIOTs1YBE6pleXX73ipFV_K_mJ1hBiYivCGoJhaN_sgSXyxD4ZZCjw4ZPmEjxDXOQbiKnd5Ecz6W1vn7WfIflNJcbgQxMVG27ssgdtJ5GoE6aVkDz-75ckmCFBx99RGI0i_p-cUZQAl200WOd8tNfwgK_QfRzFtRUsrns9Xqy4A4khf4ELCvevy0/w400-h310/map.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><i><b>Current Map of Weather Issues</b></i></span></td></tr></tbody></table></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">We DO have a Wind Advisory that will kick in from 12am through 9am Saturday, for our higher elevations. But all of the purple Advisories and pink Warnings in the above map are for icing concerns. This is a classic wintry mix that may start as snow, then mix with sleet, freezing rain, and then rain, with ice accrual being the reason for said categories. The I-40E and I-26E corridors may be problematic starting after midnight but especially early Saturday morning, so travel with caution those directions.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">We have a few little burps of snow flurries or showers over the next week, the first chance being the pre-dawn hours Sunday morning. But there are no travel concerns at any point in time for now.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: x-small;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-56254901837879527262024-01-03T17:55:00.001-05:002024-01-03T17:55:05.928-05:00SNOW/MIX AHEAD<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">The weather is still pussy-footing around in the wintry weather department so far this season. You might see a snow flurry/shower this evening, but it won't amount to anything. The ground is rock-hard here at my house as I can't stick anything in the ground by hand, so with the next round of precipitation late Friday, it might make for slippery roads for a while.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Snow looks to be a sure thing kicking in Friday evening/night, but temps will be borderline cold enough to support it for more than several hours before it ticks up and we switch to sleet, maybe some freezing rain, before it becomes all rain Saturday morning.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Any accumulation would be hampered by the reduction via sleet and rain, but 1-2" is reasonable to expect. Originally, the EURO model had us 6-8" for a couple of days, but has since pulled way back, just as it has with every little system so far this season. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I'll update if needed Friday. </span><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;">Let the milk and bread stay put on the shelves 'til next time...</span></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Bob</p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-10420209091003591792023-12-17T15:59:00.001-05:002023-12-17T15:59:44.413-05:00WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...???<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">I'm scratching my head over this one...NONE of my modeling shows anything above a dusting to MAYbe 1/2" of snow, and I've been watching these runs for two days. Here's the 'official' advisory:</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">A <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=Cove%20Creek%20NC&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=35.6064&lon=-83.0114" target="_blank">Winter Weather Advisory</a> is in place for Haywood County from 6am Monday through 6am Tuesday for elevations above 3500' (ACA's 'blue roof' house). Snow to 4" and wind gusts up to 55mph. The wind we'll get, and be prepared that some trees fall and cause some power outages, should the speeds manifest.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">To be honest, I see those snow amounts only within a fairly narrow band of the higher elevations right on the TN border and the Blue Ridge Parkway. Even the 'expected' NWS-GSP snowfall map for western NC has zero for Waynesville, and only starts accumulating a little within 15 miles of the TN border. I'm just surprised, that's all...and a lot of people will be expecting inches of snow when it will be a skunk, mostly. Any snow falling should be whipped around by wind and accumulations limited.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">HOWEVER....some seriously cold air will be moving in. to the tune of lows in the teens Tuesday and Wednesday mornings...but temps do moderate by week's end.</span></p><p><br /></p><p>Bob</p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-28245723301228894262023-12-11T06:12:00.001-05:002023-12-11T06:12:05.879-05:006AM UPDATE<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"> My driveway is clear and dry as a bone. While I see some shininess, it must be a very thin glaze that doesn't reach up to the level of the gritty driveway. My boots never slipped, so I'm assuming most of us should be fine. I won't be leaving until closer to 7am, and will update only if I see something worth mentioning. I do have 0.5" snow/ice on my deck and stairs, FYI.</span></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Bob</p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-24853990780000239142023-12-10T14:44:00.007-05:002023-12-10T18:54:25.780-05:00UPDATE: SNOW AND SLICK ROADS POSSIBLE EARLY MONDAY<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">While snow flurries/showers are falling as I update at 6:50pm, almost all models have pulled snow totals far back for our area (except the HRRR, which I've never mentioned before). While the NWS mentions 1-3" possible above 3500' elevation, I don't see the amount I got last Wednesday. The deck is white, and the snow is falling...but there is a difference from last Wednesday....</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Temps will be a dropping down into the low to mid 20s. What may be an additional concern is black ice forming. Any moisture on the roads will be icy. So just a heads up and word to the wise for the early morning. I'll be posting any update on conditions around 4-ish as I get ready to head down the mountain.</span></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Bob</p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-33254687711261824732023-12-06T08:39:00.006-05:002023-12-06T08:41:13.547-05:00QUICK A.M. UPDATE<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiGMFZlFxNDReRFJNHhAM1MfDOhF3O9OJtjq2dvagKkOFbwfHnQvgCIGm-EShAl4DZQGZzmhPm3QPH_du8ma7zNB1PDGLgvrggr53LeIJkmRG-F4gaQ92vkjKd8dNLCykOkmfsU6of2tnpTmEQYuJdCOakSyuBiAthf4oVf9LgJhgNPCAiA4p_SWBARTN0/s4000/20231206_073717.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1868" data-original-width="4000" height="149" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiGMFZlFxNDReRFJNHhAM1MfDOhF3O9OJtjq2dvagKkOFbwfHnQvgCIGm-EShAl4DZQGZzmhPm3QPH_du8ma7zNB1PDGLgvrggr53LeIJkmRG-F4gaQ92vkjKd8dNLCykOkmfsU6of2tnpTmEQYuJdCOakSyuBiAthf4oVf9LgJhgNPCAiA4p_SWBARTN0/s320/20231206_073717.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><br /> Drove off from the end of Staymon Road, with 3" of heavy wet snow at home. Apple Creek Road was snow/slush covered until Altima Lane down low. Several tell-tale fishtails seen. Went slow, no problem. Valley roads are fine. No other info as I'm in my yellow tin can sitting way up 276.<p></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-1592680388372841742023-12-05T03:07:00.004-05:002023-12-05T03:07:33.566-05:00FIRST SNOW, ALBEIT LIGHT...<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiKVK7cMsoKov_oKo2jOi15wdRj-IgEgFxpooQSFNOapaLD8UfJWb4MzFvpj8GqgRsFiOxEomrmKQWDPNEmodVKU5rFmiCz7it6hD0QZVrSTCo6_EDT5uR943118kvhfScigpZsAfQaEE59AqSV_PG_XyiUbBC2Ju_xeDA-VjZtFpTJ4REFfEYGZKevzmQ" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img alt="" data-original-height="939" data-original-width="940" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiKVK7cMsoKov_oKo2jOi15wdRj-IgEgFxpooQSFNOapaLD8UfJWb4MzFvpj8GqgRsFiOxEomrmKQWDPNEmodVKU5rFmiCz7it6hD0QZVrSTCo6_EDT5uR943118kvhfScigpZsAfQaEE59AqSV_PG_XyiUbBC2Ju_xeDA-VjZtFpTJ4REFfEYGZKevzmQ=w400-h400" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Doe in Cataloochee Valley, giving me a stare-down.</td></tr></tbody></table></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">'Tis the season, of course. A quick hitting shot of cold air with a limited moisture field will arrive tonight and give us a very cold Wednesday before departing. As I write, we are simply under a "Hazardous Weather Outlook" (HWO) as opposed to a Winter Weather Advisory (WWA), but I expect that advisory to be posted some time later today.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">It's a northwest flow event, which we all know is not a great snow producer in most systems. If that NW flow sets up truly from the NW down the I-40 corridor to us, that will put down the expected 1-2" for Apple Creek, at least the upper half. Down in the valleys, like Waynesville, I'm expecting a dusting to maybe 1/2" tops.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">My bus route runs rural backroads from the end of Jonathan Valley to near Fines Creek, so I'm expecting a bit more out that way. The spine of the Great Smokies could see 3-5"...going back to our actual flow, if it is more WNW, the Smokies will block a lot of our accumulations in ACA. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">All this to say this is a baby event, but it's a first. It takes very little accumulation on Apple Creek Road to make it a skating rink, and it may well not snow enough to warrant a snow plow. I'll update accordingly much later today and early tomorrow morning.</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-31791728355242953932023-12-02T15:55:00.000-05:002023-12-02T15:55:25.996-05:00'BOUT THAT TIME....<p><span style="font-family: trebuchet; font-size: large;">Apologies for the lack of posts from me, but there hasn't been anything monumental to pass along of late. Alas, there are now several items that bear mentioning and 'food for thought' that serves us all here in Apple Creek Acres, so that'll make for a good fireside post.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: trebuchet; font-size: large;">By now, lot owners should have received our annual dues notice along with the minutes from the annual HOA meeting a few months ago. You will notice the annual per lot assessment is now $300, up from $250. We still can boast to having one of the most affordable HOA fees in the area, but as with everything else it seems, prices for goods and services continue to rise. The oil component for asphalt is one good example, so our paving/upgrades take on bigger costs. Insofar as winter weather concerns, I'll address that further into this post. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: trebuchet; font-size: large;">I am now in ACA much more than normal as I stepped aside from driving tour buses out of Asheville and now work in the Haywood school system full time. Two 'truths' come to mind: 1) nobody wants to be behind a bus, and 2) nobody wants to be on an HOA board. While many HOAs have a bad reputation, we're in pretty doggone good shape here....except we're wearing out those that are currently serving because noone wants to come on board, so it would seem. If that trend continues, we may have to consider moving to a third party to operate our HOA and there is nothing good to come of that, unless you are willing to fork out a significant annual assessment fee increase. Just food for thought for now...but we really need residents to step up to the plate and help out if at all possible. The time commitment is rather minimal, and you get one lot fee waived for serving. Please mull the issue over...</span></p><p><span style="font-family: trebuchet; font-size: large;">This winter....if I could get a dollar for every time I get asked about "What's this winter going to be like?" I could comfortably retire. Looking back over the winters since 2008, we have been in a bit of a snow 'lull' the past few years. In terms of the Pacific Ocean currents that affect us here in the Southeast, La Nina has been in place the past 3+ years, but El Nino is now setting up shop, though we won't feel the full brunt of it this year, and not right away. Climatology maps are showing moisture being prevalent in the Southeast throughout this winter, with temperatures trending downward from our above-average temps for November and December as we enter 2024. Several models predict snowfall for western NC to be above average for the January-March period. In the lot assessment letter is a smaller green sheet that goes over the Winter Weather Policy here in Apple Creek Acres. Please read and take heed.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: trebuchet; font-size: large;">Personally, I'm agreeing with models anticipating more snow than usual here. On December 18th, 2008, we got dumped with 18". I've seen a few others in the 10-14" category, as well, but not the past few years. This ol' body of mine is reaching a limit in my ability to manually push a 40" plow blade to clear my goony-golf driveway, so I invested in a great used UTV setup with a 6' plow blade. It damn well better snow...LOL! I've never been fond of long-term forecasts, but I watch incoming systems like a hawk and will be posting potential impacts here on this blog.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: trebuchet;"><br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: x-large; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: trebuchet;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEioyo_5WTIvJ44JZoYSSP3oXQuvmr8O7tkZ4ZiQYZtAUlIU7qde0QsDX7XJCtxIyMrl-jCx4BexYI7QfM14guNQO3Bnmmw7eXELgR7yr_XHxWoxH_kkMY4NPcb4hAM_mT5g6qUJCMVBlitenZd63S6eDXerH5u4WOmTV-27FZq5EQlqlJ7eNXQoSThghKA/s1019/Screenshot_20230818_104848_Message+.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="984" data-original-width="1019" height="309" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEioyo_5WTIvJ44JZoYSSP3oXQuvmr8O7tkZ4ZiQYZtAUlIU7qde0QsDX7XJCtxIyMrl-jCx4BexYI7QfM14guNQO3Bnmmw7eXELgR7yr_XHxWoxH_kkMY4NPcb4hAM_mT5g6qUJCMVBlitenZd63S6eDXerH5u4WOmTV-27FZq5EQlqlJ7eNXQoSThghKA/s320/Screenshot_20230818_104848_Message+.jpg" width="320" /></a></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: x-large; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: trebuchet;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: x-large; text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: trebuchet;">Until next time, saddle pals....</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: x-large; text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: trebuchet;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: x-large; text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: trebuchet;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: trebuchet;">Bob</span></div><span style="font-family: trebuchet;"><br /></span><p></p><p><span style="font-family: trebuchet; font-size: large;"><br /></span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-14795357801565202442023-09-23T07:47:00.002-04:002023-09-23T07:47:28.575-04:00PAVING! PASS THE UPDATE...<p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Just got word, so please pass it along: </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><b>PAVING IS A GO for MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25</b>.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Apple Creek Road will be <b>closed</b> from <b>869 Apple Creek Road</b> on up from <b>9am to 3pm</b>. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;">(<b>NOTE:</b> this is just before the downhill side of the mirror curve)</span></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Bob</p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8385108583705791964.post-25472837018839424452023-08-24T10:58:00.005-04:002023-08-24T11:22:33.001-04:00ANNUAL MEETING REMINDER<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgRu8iw2tJBF-W2O4P32USp-_Y_tSwuNWNPaQehagXM_T_XPuazNxkLvPGKIN1NAc8vKT1P9hFuQwtuo9ZEjxYo-2l881R1AV7EDXorDlrcw2EFGT14vJQSmBxgpiAwhAM9v0z0bbtwKXif4UN5SYoI59o9rlpIgcM-twsLSkg5ZhK0-vIX5ZCR9eBf8P4/s3852/20230730_063506-01.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1735" data-original-width="3852" height="180" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgRu8iw2tJBF-W2O4P32USp-_Y_tSwuNWNPaQehagXM_T_XPuazNxkLvPGKIN1NAc8vKT1P9hFuQwtuo9ZEjxYo-2l881R1AV7EDXorDlrcw2EFGT14vJQSmBxgpiAwhAM9v0z0bbtwKXif4UN5SYoI59o9rlpIgcM-twsLSkg5ZhK0-vIX5ZCR9eBf8P4/w400-h180/20230730_063506-01.jpeg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9sc1czReWF0bsSkxfqgvKMP3LvMC7v73nyao_zQ8FBxFdKZCN5_K4xbUJfEHefF_BLPB6xkLIdPwABuF_AENywD7JsYE2Ydg5kFACgIad22UzdwqeHtXAcXs7Msutlenb678e48QBceqPkV0gnF0l0UpY5gn3Pm0T_tJj_XfyrC4YfwfJDBKgy2yFsns/s4000/20230806_072029-01.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1868" data-original-width="4000" height="186" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9sc1czReWF0bsSkxfqgvKMP3LvMC7v73nyao_zQ8FBxFdKZCN5_K4xbUJfEHefF_BLPB6xkLIdPwABuF_AENywD7JsYE2Ydg5kFACgIad22UzdwqeHtXAcXs7Msutlenb678e48QBceqPkV0gnF0l0UpY5gn3Pm0T_tJj_XfyrC4YfwfJDBKgy2yFsns/w400-h186/20230806_072029-01.jpeg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFyBABcRo05mk49jKbgU4t4oe-8Uzwy1egJoSotep-410jrMKxOPHAsTloTmXVePCZ0lu6WNFlRobF0ryTeY1YPM9Ztj-gfMnigOsgcwsEgyDOJSKWPH0TAVCzGtLpEt3pybvE6HjvXXa3KbMO_7qOSDrKATO7D4Mf5lsAI_WmjpwLEu1F1jm50XzkZ-4/s2588/20230816_062422-01.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="939" data-original-width="2588" height="145" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFyBABcRo05mk49jKbgU4t4oe-8Uzwy1egJoSotep-410jrMKxOPHAsTloTmXVePCZ0lu6WNFlRobF0ryTeY1YPM9Ztj-gfMnigOsgcwsEgyDOJSKWPH0TAVCzGtLpEt3pybvE6HjvXXa3KbMO_7qOSDrKATO7D4Mf5lsAI_WmjpwLEu1F1jm50XzkZ-4/w400-h145/20230816_062422-01.jpeg" width="400" /></a></div><span style="font-family: verdana;"><p><i>[the above pics are some wonderful recent dawns/sunrises from home at the end of Staymon Road. Click on image to enlarge] </i></p><p style="text-align: center;"><i><b>------------------------------------------------</b></i></p><span style="font-size: medium;">By now surely everyone has received the notice for the Annual HOA meeting and the Board of Directors to be voted upon.</span></span><p></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">That meeting is coming up soon:</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 2</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">10:00am - 12:00 noon</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">WAYNESVILLE PUBLIC LIBRARY: </span><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;"> </span><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;">678 South Haywood Street, </span><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: large;">lower level (down behind back)</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">PROXIES: In your mailing was a proxy sheet and a self-addressed stamp envelope. To have a quorum, the association needs X% of lot owners to either be there to vote in person, or at least turn in their proxy to be voted by the board or lot owner of your choice.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">This is a great time to meet some new faces and catch up on the latest news, issues, and developments. You'll find out about the director's reports, road maintenance/repaving topics, and other new business.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">We live in a fantastic place with the lowest HOA fees around. Hopefully you can attend...and if not, I pass on what information I receive via this blog.</span></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: medium;">Bob</span></p>Apple Creek Acreshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00831965791695439270noreply@blogger.com0