Apologies for posting this late...truth is, even going back to last Thursday, both the GFS and Euro models had 1-3" of snow for us Tuesday afternoon/night. On Sunday, the NAM joined in, and all three were showing light but accumulating snow. However, I was left scratching my head because there was absolutely no mention of it in our zone forecast from the National Weather Service. All rain, they said...but the models remained steadfast in what they 'saw'.
Well, our Winter Weather Advisory (link) is for freezing rain, and maybe some sleet at first, with no mention of snow. The advisory runs from 6pm Tuesday til 4pm Wednesday. I have to believe that there may be a period of wet snow that falls and tries to accumulate given what I see; but sleet and freezing rain will reduce any accumulations, leaving us with an icy mess that will be nigh impossible to travel in safely.
The good news is that the cold air leaves as quickly as it arrives, freezing rain gives way to plain rain, and any problems that develop will ameliorate soon enough. The sun angle is higher, and the days longer...ice in late December can hang around a long time, potentially, but not this system.
Rain is what we don't need, but we can't seem to stop it. I suppose we should be thankful that we've not had more wintry weather to deal with of late. I'll update as needed later in the day Tuesday.
Bob
