WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY: UPDATE

What WON'T be happening...

First, here are the technicalities: Apple Creek Acres is under a Winter Weather Advisory (click link for details) from noon today until 7:00 a.m. Sunday. Temperatures won't be cold enough for snow here until late in the afternoon, early evening, and the winds will also be picking up as the temperatures crash.  Power outages are certainly within the realm of possibility if the winds get as high as the forecasts show.

 In so far is amounts, this is where 2 paths diverge in the woods, just like we've seen with every other system so far this Winter. The national weather service is calling for one to possibly 2" and some mountain valleys, with anywhere from 2 to 4" along the higher ridge tops along and near the Tennessee border. The graphic for Waynesville simply shows less than 1" even on the high end amount so I'd imagine even where we are that it'll be another one of those heavy dustings to light coatings down low. I'll stick with up to 1.5" above the blue roof house, although if the winds stay feisty then it will be hard to accumulate that much. And, add to that…

My two favored models have now had two consecutive runs that put us into our 0 - 1" category, and they're no longer showing the heavier snow along the TN border close to us. That speaks to a very limited moisture field tonight. Highs will be well above freezing Sunday...cold, yes, but not long-lasting.

I will be driving in after 1am and will post road conditions in the comments section below. Once again, this has all the makings of a minor winter event, but even 0.25" of snow on the road can be dangerously slippery.  In some respects, I'd rather drive up in 1-2" of snow...time will tell!


Bob