A few things have changed in the forecasts, but my assessment of 'issues' for ACA remain the same from the prior post. ACA is in a Winter Weather Advisory (not a more substantial warning, at least at this time), and temps should be cold enough to support some snow in the valleys by Wednesday afternoon.
My favored models have danced us in and out between the 1" range to the 2-3" range. but they still basically hug the 1" level, with 2" close by. You can drive in that stuff with the proper vehicle and driving skill. The advisory calls for 2-3" for ACA above the Moskos' blue roof house, but at this time I'm doubtful for that much.
This will be a NW flow event, which can be buggers. With just the exact, precise direction, snow shower bands can lay down 2" in several hours, but I'm not convinced the incoming direction is that favorable. Too, the timing keeps delaying on digital models, with any rain/snow changeover to occur just before daylight instead of after midnight, with the 'likely' snowy period more towards noon instead of 8am...all of that pointing towards a 'less than' event for us.
Who's kidding who....1/2" of snow/ice can cause some serious skidding and traction issues on Apple Creek Road, but this event really does appear to rank along with the past two events. Not enough to justify plowing, and dropping temps cold enough to drop us below justifying salting.
And we get to do this dance all over again Thursday night into Friday, though that looks even a tad more tame and less 'wet'. Stay tuned for updates....
Bob
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