Tuesday, February 11, 2014

48-HOUR WINTER STORM WARNING

ACA is under a Winter Storm Warning in effect from 6p Tuesday through 6p Thursday. Regional amounts of 4-8" expected, with concerns for power outages due to heavy wet nature of the snow, especially on Wednesday when breezier conditions move in.

This wintry scenario we're in is like a fruit cake, the gift that keeps on giving.  It's unusual for us to have a warning in effect for two full days, but that goes to show this isn't just one low pressure system at work, but several cutting across the Deep South.  Through Thursday supper we stand to possibly have two heavy periods of snow, with light snow possible any ol' time.

Timing: This morning, the bulk of the moisture is just south of us, though later today we get a push in from TN.  Looks like the first 'likely' period of snow hits before sunrise Wednesday for a few hours, then again closer to midnight Wednesday into Thursday.  Wednesday is clearly the trouble day for travel, with temps not expected to hit 32.  Thursday afternoon highs go above freezing and will help matters...a little, anyway.

Amounts:  I'll stick with my 6-8" at this point.  The NAM is not going bonkers for ACA like it had been, but along the SE edge of the Blue Ridge I won't be surprised to see 10-14" amounts when all is said and done.  The GFS has been holding in the 5-8" range run after run, too.  Now, that will be addition to the 4-5" we got here yesterday, so we're talking a solid dose of snow any way you look at it.

It does warm into the weekend, and one of our saving graces this time is the lack of polar air plunging in behind to cement us in.  Take your victories where you can get 'em...

I will be making a drive down this morning ~7:30am to run into town and will update with a road report in the comments section below, where you are also free to post any pertinent info you have.


MY DRIVEWAY BEFORE BEING MANPLOWED (link)

Bob

2 comments:

  1. Drove down from Staymon at 745a and returned at 10a. Overall improvements on Mauney Cove and lower Apple Creek Road, thanks to temps near 32 and salting. However, above the blue roof house as almost always is the case, the road deteriorates overall. 2 stranded vehicles I saw: one on the topside of the lower hairpin, that looks like it should be able to drive down and be okay, and then a work truck in a ditch below the Damon's house below the lower hairpin, in the downhill ditch. That one has to be pulled out.

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  2. I should add I stayed in 4WD high the whole way and really didn't slip at all, going slowly.

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