Sunday, February 15, 2015

WINTER STORM WATCH (FOR NOW...)

Brother's backyard in Ashland, MA this morning...!

Got the above picture this morning from my brother west of Boston...we've had it pretty good here, eh?!

Our howling winds from last night have backed off, but they were fierce for several hours as those of you up here experienced.  Got down to a low of 1 here at the end of Staymon.  The wind kept the snow from accumulating, so all I have are dustings and small piles.  But that's it for Round #1. Sun will be out today to warm us some (a relative term), but now to truly get ready for Round #2, the Bruiser.

A Watch is hoisted when Warning criteria is expected, but when it's over 24 hours away.  No doubt the watch will become a warning later today/tonight.  Overall snow totals per the National Weather Service are for 5-10" in the TN border counties.  My models for ACA had been running 6-8", and for 12 hours now have gone 4-6".  They'll go up and down as it all nears, but suffice it to say I'm expecting deteriorating road conditions in ACA as Monday goes on, and definitely lasting through Tuesday into Wednesday.

The better accumulations will occur later Monday into Tuesday, with only flurries left for Wednesday.  Behind this snow is sharper cold with possibly below zero temps Thursday morning, aided by a snow pack.  Depending on your ACA location (low, high, sun, no sun) many of us probably won't see 32 degrees until Saturday....yes, Saturday.  What falls sticks and stays.

A component to this messy system is that there may be some early freezing rain in some areas.  Not expecting an issue for us in ACA, but not too far east and southeast they'll have more icing, with maybe 1/4" toward the Charlotte area.  Snow on top of ice is a horrible combination for travel, of course,  And please keep in mind that assuming the snows accumulate and we have to plow and salt in ACA, temps for some periods may be too cold for the road salt to work effectively if at all.  Get any supplies you need today and prepare for some inconveniences.


Bob

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