(Once again, temperatures slower to fall than forecast. It's 40 degrees @ 6am here, Monday, at the end of Staymon. So, the day starts well....)
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On one hand, the past 4 systems or so that have come through have either had marginal low temps or marginal amounts of precipitation. I've started calling them 'nuisance' weather. We've had to salt Apple Creek Road a couple of times, but traffic continued pretty much unbothered, with a couple of exceptions.
So here we go again...I was up at the top of ACA a while ago and the wind was howling, as we're in a wind advisory for areas above 3500 feet. Crashing cold air is coming in overnight, as the temperature will pretty much start falling by midnight and will slowly notch downward for about 36 hours. The critical 32 degree mark may not get here til sunrise, with rain already switching over to snow. The 'heavier' forecast bands of snow may not get here until 8a or 9a which will be problematic for schools. With dropping temps during the day Monday, there is no natural 'improvement for the roads. The big concern coming from the NWS at GSP is for deteriorating road conditions and black ice. My models have been holding 0-1", with a few recent runs that pop up 2-3". Icy roads are nobody's friend, and looks like we will have some.
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for ACA from 5am Monday through 10a Tuesday. Snow amounts may be in the 1-2" range, but falling throughout the day sporadically. Gusty winds will be moving the snow all around. Falling temperatures, or at the best steady, will create black ice concerns on many mountain roads through Tuesday morning. Tuesday AM lows will be in the low to mid teens for us.
So...if you have to get out early in the morning Monday, know there may be the possibility you can't get back up later in the day, especially if you live up above the blue roof house. Plan accordingly.
I'll be posting an update early tomorrow morning.
Bob
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