I'll be heading (SLOWLY) down shortly from the end of Staymon, and it may take 2-3 hours for me to post an update. Between 4am and 6am the temp dropped from 28 to 24 degrees...the tire ruts must be extremely icy, but we were fortunate that minimal freezing rain/sleet fell after the flurries before midnight.
Today is 'calm' with temps getting above freezing, certainly by this afternoon. This is the day to take care of tire repairs, grocery runs, etc. After midnight, our wintry mix begins, and it will be a mixed bag to be sure. The more sleet and freezing rain mixes in, the less the total accumulation will be through Saturday. Plenty of snow to figure in, though.
My 6-10" gut call for ACA is actually a tad under guidance which hints at 8-12". The 1p NAM run yesterday had us in 16-20", but it backed off to the 7-10 range (for now?). With a system like this where 1 degree makes all the difference in the world. 10" of snow can turn to 18" in a heartbeat, so there is that risk with this sytstem.
I'll do my best to post an update later this morning ...just depends on errands I have to take care of first. There are numerous cars off on the side of Apple Creek Road, so please execute caution and SLOW speeds heading down this morning.
Bob
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