When Haywood County was finally put into a Winter Storm Warning, it was a 'first' for me in all my years in the biz: "Total snow accumulations of 2 - 18 inches are expected." Well, if that doesn't cover your butt I don't know what will. The NWS knows that snow-killing warm nose will be lurking around, but not sure exactly where. There will be that rapid gradient to heavy snow if not here then close by. 6"-10" for us may be more like 8"-12", but with this early onset we could go higher.
Here are the latest models for ACA...the Canadian and Euro have culled back, but the NAM went crazy two runs ago with 18"-20"...it came back down on the last run:
GFS 8"-12"
CANADIAN 8"-12"
NAM 12"-15"
EURO 12"-16"
The Warning also upped the time frame to 12 noon today to 12 noon Monday. As I type the onset has been earlier as I already have a good dusting with the surface temp holding at 33 degrees. The NWS likes the odd-man-out-NAM for its timing and handling of the warm nose that may encroach on Haywood County Sunday, turning the snow back in to rain and sleet, maybe some freezing rain, which will take what accumulations there are and start reducing them.
I'll make one last run into town and call it a day...a weekend, rather. :-)
Bob
P
No comments:
Post a Comment