|4:45am 2" heavy snow @ 33 degrees|
The particulars: ACA is in a Winter Weather Advisory from 6p this evening through noon Friday, for a wintry mix that is expected to be a mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow. The 'official' forecast is rather complicated...1-2" in the Blue Ridge, 2-3" in the Balsams (ACA is on the NE end of the Plott Balsams), and involves accumulating snow and sleet before daybreak, then freezing rain on top of that for a wicked little layer cake effect. Highs Friday go well above freezing, and any other precipitation goes to rain, but suffice it to say the AM commute for our mountain may be quite slick. Given that outcome, there is no way to treat roads with this type stuff, so we will just have to wait out any issues as the temps climb well above freezing.
HOWEVER....I don't see too much ice concern for ACA in particular. Alas, all it takes is a little ice to cause a huge issue, but the accumulations are not showing up in my favored modeling, except for a curious NAM run at 8p last night that has a solo bullseye of 'accumulation' right here in Haywood County, with ACA in the 2-5" range. One of the oddest output maps I've seen, but here it is in all it's glory:
|NAM 8pm run Wednesday 3/5/14|
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