I just revised tonight's forecast in a prior post a few minutes ago...meant to post this, as well. PLEASE save/bookmark this page and label it accordingly to help out when we do get a decent snowfall here in ACA.
-----------------------------------------------------
The HOA has contracted with a new snow plow operator who will be available to do driveways after he has completed the main roads.
His name is Nathan Franklin and his number is 828-788-1464. Mr. Franklin has requested that individuals wanting driveways done please leave him voicemail and he will call them.
--------------------------------------------------------
Bob
Tuesday, December 10, 2019
UPDATE: MINOR WINTER WEATHER HIT
As I type at 430pm, Haywood County is under a Winter Weather Advisory, (click link) but not really for ACA, even though we have elevations above 3500'. The very latest indications are good snows for eastern TN up to and within 10 miles of the TN border, but once again, we stand for a dusting/icing of very little. One of those "close, but no cigar" type of situations as the cold air does not manifest here before the precipitation ends, basically. A dusting, at best. Both the 'filtered' NAM and GFS have pulled back to 0-1" for what's to come, and it makes sense.
I have no reason to expect travel difficulties in the morning. The school system MIGHT as Fines Creek is a litmus test, and they may pick up sleet/snow of 1+" by daybreak, but truth be told it looks like we are dodging yet another snowy system.
Bob
I have no reason to expect travel difficulties in the morning. The school system MIGHT as Fines Creek is a litmus test, and they may pick up sleet/snow of 1+" by daybreak, but truth be told it looks like we are dodging yet another snowy system.
Bob
Tuesday, December 3, 2019
WEATHER/ROAD UPDATE
 |
| TUESDAY 7AM (end of Staymon Rd) |
Good snowy morning everyone...well, really for those above the 3500' level at the blue roof house. We picked up a heavy coating of snow that has covered all surfaces, including the roads. It could be little slick for a while so please use caution heading down this morning. There are no road issues below 3500'.
Overall, this basically non-event dropped 0.2" of powdery snow. Thankfully, I captured the first round of snow for prosperity's sake...
 |
| SNOWMAGEDDON 11/30-12/1/19 |
Bob
Monday, December 2, 2019
50/50 ...
I feel bad that after all these years I didn't have the guts to side with my 0 to 1 inch models which unwaveringly held for 24 straight model runs. However, the NWS warning/advisory has been verifying not too far from us to the North and especially along the Tennessee border where they are getting significantly more snow. I saw a car at Food Lion that had a couple of inches on it that came down from Crabtree.
While the warnings and advisories continue until 7 o'clock in the morning, the radar echoes are pretty empty and I don't think ACA will see anything more than the few flakes flying around like we've been seeing this morning. Temps start moderating tomorrow, as well.
Happy December, y'all!
Bob
While the warnings and advisories continue until 7 o'clock in the morning, the radar echoes are pretty empty and I don't think ACA will see anything more than the few flakes flying around like we've been seeing this morning. Temps start moderating tomorrow, as well.
Happy December, y'all!
Bob
Sunday, December 1, 2019
UPGRADE: WINTER STORM WARNING
For elevations above 3500', the Winter Weather Advisory has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning (click on link). Basically, that means a vote of confidence from the National Weather Service (NWS) for the higher accumulations I spoke of in the prior post.
Truth be told, the forecast amounts per the warning are even higher. It still stands to reason the highest accumulations will be on the Tennessee border. However, the NWS is upping the potential snowfall, even for Waynesville, to 4 to 5" down low and 5 to 10" above 3500'. Seems high to me, but I defer to caution. Do my favored interpolated models see anything new, now? No. Still 0-1". Hmmm...
As I type a little after 11:00 p.m. tonight, the temperature is 36ﾟ and the snow, at least by the radar, is falling above us toward Fines Creek. I will be updating early in the morning once I see what is happening.
Bob
Truth be told, the forecast amounts per the warning are even higher. It still stands to reason the highest accumulations will be on the Tennessee border. However, the NWS is upping the potential snowfall, even for Waynesville, to 4 to 5" down low and 5 to 10" above 3500'. Seems high to me, but I defer to caution. Do my favored interpolated models see anything new, now? No. Still 0-1". Hmmm...
As I type a little after 11:00 p.m. tonight, the temperature is 36ﾟ and the snow, at least by the radar, is falling above us toward Fines Creek. I will be updating early in the morning once I see what is happening.
Bob
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
Good Sunday morning, everybody. We now have a Winter weather advisory (click on link) for Haywood County in effect from 7:00 p.m. tonight through 7am Tuesday.
This incoming snow situation is a bit different than any I've seen in many years. Pretty heavy accumulations will occur along the Tennessee border and maybe 5 to 10 miles from it before there is a sharp drop off in accumulations. My models still show ACA in the 0 to 1" category; however, the advisory is saying 1 to 2" in the lower elevations and for our upper elevations that could be from 2 to 4". It's best to defer to the NWS and be prepared for their projections. I'll be curious about totals as not one single model run of the GFS and NAM the past couple of days has had ACA in more than the 1 inch category.
This morning's rain showers will soon end, and the Sun should return for another mild day. The temperatures start to drop tonight with a cold front with the snow setting in after dark but mostly in the overnight hours. Northwest flow events can continue for more than a day, and accumulations can be a real wild card. Thankfully, we've got a nice day to prepare for this roll of the weather dice.
Bob
This incoming snow situation is a bit different than any I've seen in many years. Pretty heavy accumulations will occur along the Tennessee border and maybe 5 to 10 miles from it before there is a sharp drop off in accumulations. My models still show ACA in the 0 to 1" category; however, the advisory is saying 1 to 2" in the lower elevations and for our upper elevations that could be from 2 to 4". It's best to defer to the NWS and be prepared for their projections. I'll be curious about totals as not one single model run of the GFS and NAM the past couple of days has had ACA in more than the 1 inch category.
This morning's rain showers will soon end, and the Sun should return for another mild day. The temperatures start to drop tonight with a cold front with the snow setting in after dark but mostly in the overnight hours. Northwest flow events can continue for more than a day, and accumulations can be a real wild card. Thankfully, we've got a nice day to prepare for this roll of the weather dice.
Bob
Saturday, November 30, 2019
A BIT OF SNOW FOR ACA...
There is no doubt we have been totally spoiled by our mild temperatures lately. While there is a big shot of cold air that will be in place late Sunday night through Monday, the ground should be warm enough to limit accumulations on road surfaces. Be that as it may, it doesn't take much to make for dangerously slick roads on our mountain.
This will be another Northwest flow event, that looks to drop 2 to 4" along the Tennessee border near us. As you go up towards Roan Mountain and northeast of they are, they may see as much as 6 to possibly 8" of snow. The odd thing is, my favored models don't show much of that snow getting down to central Haywood County, with ACA in the dusting to 1" category.
As I am writing this about 6:30 p.m Saturday., there are no winter weather advisories, watches, or warnings for Western North Carolina… yet. The switch over to snow showers should take place approximate to midnight Sunday night and last through a good bit of Monday. Temperatures will definitely be much colder, in the 30s, and if the snow overrides the warm ground, the roads may well be slick early Monday morning. I will post an update sometime Sunday when I see more specific information.
Bob
This will be another Northwest flow event, that looks to drop 2 to 4" along the Tennessee border near us. As you go up towards Roan Mountain and northeast of they are, they may see as much as 6 to possibly 8" of snow. The odd thing is, my favored models don't show much of that snow getting down to central Haywood County, with ACA in the dusting to 1" category.
As I am writing this about 6:30 p.m Saturday., there are no winter weather advisories, watches, or warnings for Western North Carolina… yet. The switch over to snow showers should take place approximate to midnight Sunday night and last through a good bit of Monday. Temperatures will definitely be much colder, in the 30s, and if the snow overrides the warm ground, the roads may well be slick early Monday morning. I will post an update sometime Sunday when I see more specific information.
Bob
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)