Slight adjustments to my prior post here yesterday, a bit more of a refinement. The center of Lee's rotation still on track to go through Chattanooga and Knoxville (and the trend is even west of that track), which gives us a strong S, SE and E flow for a lot of the heavier precipitation. Still a slow mover...but IF there is a silver lining specifically for Apple Creek Acres it's our position on the (basically) northern side our large ridge. Such a 'protective' position could cut back our storm total a couple of inches compared to, say, a friend of mine at Lake Toxaway. East/Southeast facing slopes and sides of mountain ranges will pick up the heaviest rainfall, which could be in the 6-9" range. While I've had ACA in a 5-7" range, it would be a blessing and a curse to get only 3-4" of rain. A blessing for obvious reasons, and a curse because even 3-4 inches of rainfall will do a whammy here.
Below is this morning's run for storm totals, which is still underdone in the broad yellow zones. ACA is the black star...pic will enlarge some if you click on it.
(UPDATE, Sunday 4pm: Just checked my rain gauge from this afternoon's downpour, and picked up dead at 1.00" of rain....not a good harbinger of what's to come...)
Timing: Storm chances pop up later today, but the steadier and heavier rains look to be here almost all of Monday and Tuesday ('definite' and 'likely' categories from 9am Monday through 4am Wednesday), with 'chance' category returning during the day on Wednesday, Thursday, and tailing off Friday.
No surprise a FLASH FLOOD WATCH has already been issued by the National Weather Service for our area, in effect from Monday morning through Wednesday morning. I've got to travel out to Charlotte Monday, and am not looking forward to conditions, especially on the end of a big holiday. Be careful out and about, y'all. :-)
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