I'm here in Charlotte pulling the AM shift, and culling over the latest snow forecasts. National Weather Service isn't mentioning much of anything at the moment, but while flip-floppy and a tad erratic, the NAM continues to put ACA in a 2-3" range, with the GFS around 1", maybe 2" up high here. Heck, the NAM continues to show quite the quick hitting winter storm in northern MS, southern TN, and NW AL with hefty snow amounts. However, the NWS there is saying ground temp and air temps will be too warm for much accumulation if any...I dunno 'bout that one...
One factor limiting accumulations here will be how much rain mixes in with the snow onset around midnight Monday, when the precipitation will be heaviest. The chance of snow stays around all of Tuesday and Tuesday night, though moisture becomes more and more limited. Seems to me it's reasonable to say 1" down low and 3" up high in ACA at this time, though I'll update either late today or early Monday AM. Those accumulations would be for when all is said and done.
One can argue 2" of snow isn't anything, but even 1/2" on Apple Creek Road can be a huge travel problem, hence being concerned. Especially starting with rain, then temps freeze, icy bottom layers to snow become a bigger concern.
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| NAM early SUNDAY map |
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| GFS early SUNDAY map |
Bob
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