Friday, February 15, 2013

Roll The Snow Dice...

Update: 230p  3" at the end of Staymon, 4" at the top of ACA...looking down into the valley. Lake J and surrounding area snowless, even high SE facing mountainsides with minimal snow.  Good ol' N exposure!  To my understanding plowing and salting has been called in.

Update: 10:45a   I second Lynn Damon's comment...I went out to plow the driveway and just on the level part it is extremely slippery under the snow.  YakTrax are in order, but snow continues to fly so not worth clearing just now.  Simply passing on that there are surely very slick spots on the road.  Radar still has some good bands heading in from TN our way, so got a ways to go with all this.  2" and counting at the end of Staymon right now.  Please feel free to add any road/travel comments below, or use the email symbol and email me info.



At least we're heading into this with temps well above freezing today.  That will change tonight as sharply colder air moves in for the weekend.   If we're lucky we MIGHT see 32 degrees Sunday, but most of us will stay below 32 until Monday.

ACA is in a Winter Weather Advisory from 12a tonight through 12p Sunday. Overnight snow chances are not huge (snowing and accumulating at 8:20p, and 22 degrees)...but all day Saturday through midnight we'll have hit and miss bands of snow showers, which as we witnessed in the last snow a couple of Saturdays ago can deposit very quickly if you get one overhead.

The NWS forecast in the advisory is for 2-3" with isolated higher amounts on peaks. Of my two models I follow, the NAM has held 0-1" all along, but the GFS is running a solid 2"...this winter the GFS has outperformed the NAM almost every event here in ACA.  The one interesting 'difference' is what will happen along and east of I-85 in SC and up through Charlotte:  The NAM has a spotty 0-1" and the GFS has a good 3-5" for Spartanburg through Camden.  A chin-stroker for them, no doubt.

By Saturday night, the winds should be cranking, adding to the big chill...and while we've been above freezing today, we should go below 32 by  9 or 10pm, and precipitation is already in the mountains with a good bit banked up in TN (click radar image below to enlarge).  Slippery travel is expected. so head's up.  You all know the drill.


Morristown, TN radar ~4pm Friday


Bob

4 comments:

  1. From Dick Fields (just below the double hairpins): at 8:20am snow is accumulating (on the road) from just below the blue roof house and up. From me: 24 degrees and over an inch, falling steadily up here.

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  2. we just went out to shift our cars in the driveway so that the "safer" car was first out and decided against the effort. The driveway was only an inch or less of snow but there was definitely ice under it. We decided to wait until it was all over and instead stay in and enjoy coffee and books and the fire and our cats.....

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  3. I just watched a 4-wheel pickup literally inching his way down the road in front of my house. They had been somewhere up the road to pick up someone who needed to go to work but I don't think they made it that far (didn't look like the person was in the truck). I told them about the salt in the bin across from me and they were using it to try to get down the hill. They've been nearly 15 minutes just driving past my house. Definitely not a time to be out on our road.....

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  4. I just watched the 3rd vehicle not be able to make it up the hill above our house and then back into our driveway to turn around and go back down the way they came......and VERY slowly was the only way they could control their car. Interestingly the road from our house down to the corner before the blue house is mostly clear because of the salt that I mentioned one of the struggling vehicle drivers as putting on the road........and I think I just heard the plow going up our part of the hill while I have been typing this note.

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