Thursday, February 2, 2023

S(NO)W TONIGHT...

From the files: Magnolia blossoms floating in a fountain (click to enlarge)

FRIDAY AM UPDATE:  Just like the ol' breakfast cereal:  "Nut'n' Honey"  All is clear...the cold air was too delayed to cause any frozen troubles.

While many to the west have had to deal with a deadly ice and snow storm and it's effects, we continue to have a "quiet" winter in terms of very limited snow thanks to a jet stream that simply doesn't dig well east of the Appalachians...at least yet.

We will get a decent shot of cold coming in tonight behind a cold front....highs Friday in the 30s, lows in the teens Saturday...but temps start to rebound some by the end of the weekend.

Before I talk frozen stuff, I don't see an issue for the bottom half of ACA....not that you won't see flakes flying, but you shouldn't see anything more than a dusting at best.

For upper ACA, even with a light accumulation, it looks like the rain will transition to some snow which is a recipe for icy road surfaces once the temperature drops.  It takes but a sheen of ice to lose control of a vehicle, so that will be my main concern.  Onset should be around the evening meal up to about midnight, and I'll be on the mountain and update if needed.

At the moment, the National Weather Service uses the official wording of 'little to no accumulation', and no bulletin messages for Haywood County.  Insofar as the models, the GFS shows nil, the EURO shows <0.5", and the not-oft correct NAM is showing 1"-3" above 4K' right by us.

Have a good Thursday and I'll update if or as needed as dusk approaches.



Bob

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