Thursday, January 2, 2014

WEATHER UPDATE

You can read the prior post from yesterday for the basics of our incoming weather, poised to mess up our ACA roads as early as this evening.  This is just an update of tidbits from the latest data runs, and adjustments by the National Weather Service (NWS):

Above 3500', the warning is now for 4-6" of snow.  Below 3500', the advisory has been upped on the high side for 1-3" of snow.  My two favored outputs have been agreeing all along (not the usual) and have ACA on the low side of totals, but have increased to 2" with 3" very close.  Winds will make it difficult to ascertain true totals, making it a bit of a moot point - travel should be greatly hampered at the very least starting this evening.

Timing:  switchover to snow with crashing cold temps and winds is the late afternoon to around supper time.  I would urge anyone out on the roads to be back home as soon after dark as possible this evening, if not earlier...and while we have a good number with jobs that need to travel, I'm expecting some real problems on ACA roads Friday morning.

Winds should be strong and gusty for many hours this evening and overnight...power outages become a possibility, and with the bitterness of the cold coming in, if we did lose power and it stays off long enough, there could be issues of pipes freezing.  I imagine most of us are always prepared for this type of situation, so just throwing it out there.  :-)

After a bitter Friday, and a short-lived warm-up of sorts, there will be a chance for freezing rain in ACA before sunrise Sunday.  Should switch to all rain later in the morning, but a 'heads up' for now.  And then Sunday night into Monday will be more snow showers, but the moisture supply looks very limited and probably not an issue.  More on that later this weekend.

Bob

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