Saturday, January 15, 2022

WINTER STORM WARNING...NO, REALLY...

 Snow is coming, and quite a bit.  First, here is the WINTER STORM WARNING from the NWS (National Weather Service).  Click HERE to read the official notice.

When I say a foot of snow is likely in ACA, whether it's 10" or 15", it's a LOT of snow.  While there may be periods of sleet and possibly freezing rain to knock the total down, we are in for a solid snow event to eventually set up, nonetheless.  It's possible we see some flakes this afternoon, but the bulwark of the snow arrives midnight-ish and falls through the day on Sunday.  I will be driving back up the mountain tonight around 10pm, and will update here if needed.

We have most of today to get whatever provisions are needed...this will also be a windy event, especially on the backside, so be prepared for power outages, as well.  This snow is expected to have a high water content, hence the big totals, which also burdens weak trees.

Below are the Friday PM runs for 6pm Sunday, with ACA being the white dot.  The EURO and GFS are the favored models, though I should add the NAM has us only in the 3-5" range, but I didn't include that graphic. Click to enlarge.

EURO Friday PM run

GFS Friday PM run

GFS Event Total Friday PM run



Bob

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