Thursday, December 23, 2010

WHITE CHRISTMAS: Update 1

Nice mini-layer of snow dust this morning...and one biting wind!  Swept portions of my deck and drive and the fluff goes right off with no underlayer to speak of.


I'm blending the nuances between the 8p WED and 1a THU runs, which have only minor variations.  The 1pm WED runs had both pulling back to 1-2", but I take that as an aberration of sorts.


Storm totals for ACA SAT25/SUN26:
NAM:  2-4"
GFS:  4-6"


Basically, snow amounts drop off a good bit as you head away from the TN border, which both models indicate.  ACA is on the 3" dividing line with the NAM, and 5" line with the GFS.


While flakes can start overnight into early Christmas morning, steadier snow should start Christmas Day close to 7a and go all day....Sunday may see a round of snow shower bursts early, then just passing flurries or light snow showers.


The one aspect I will like about this system better than the last will be the absence of freezing rain and sleet.  This system should be all snow for ACA.


Setting aside the complications for those that need to travel, and to get services like plowing, salting, etc., the idea of a White Christmas is kind of neat.  Hasn't happened in Asheville since 1981...too, I happen to be a Christmas baby, so this will be one of my very few White Birthdays that I can remember.


Will more than likely post again something within a stone's throw of suppertime this evening.


bob

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