WINTER STORM WARNING Thursday

Well, something's coming....we had a lull in the precipitation today, and my total for Round 1 was 7.96".  Another 1.5" to 3" is possible later tonight and Thursday morning, before the fun and excitement begins.  ACA lost power at least twice today, and could again tomorrow, so fyi.

Looks like air cold enough aloft will be in noonish and start mixing in big wet snow flakes with the rain, and fairly quickly transition to all snow for the afternoon and into the evening....heavy, wet snow, that could pull down trees and power lines.  The components of sleet and freezing rain have pulled back best I can tell, but with all the water, the heavy wet snow (done by or before midnight), and a Friday morning low in the upper teens, dangerous driving conditions are quite likely.  With that said, for thinking ahead of the curve for plowing and salting, a Thursday night plowing and salting would be in order for those of you talking that over.

Amounts...ah, the NAM is bugging me this evening...the last two runs have gotten hot and heavy for ACA, with 10-12" in the afternoon run below.  The GFS is holding in the 4-5" category, but either way that stymies travel here.  Click on maps to enlarge...ACA is the black asterisk:

1PM RUN NAM

1PM RUN GFS

I'll update Thursday morning with any changes, thoughts, etc.

Bob