Winter weather returns Thursday

Eeegads, what a system.  As of 7am I've recorded 7.82" of rain...and still falling.

Because this storm system has really changed up it's timing and placement of the front, we're slated for a changeover to heavy wet snow Thursday, probably noonish.  It will mix in with rain first, then sleet and some freezing rain possible through the afternoon.  What now is a Winter Storm Watch will be changed to a Warning later today.

This is going to be a messy situation...heavy wet snow could bring down power lines, trees, etc, and the forecast low Friday morning is slated to be well down in the teens.  Precipitation should be tailing off before midnight, but icy conditions will be trouble.

Too, keep in mind with our ridiculous amounts of rain, the ground water tables have risen and we have any number of seeps that ooze out over Apple Creek Road...those areas could be especially dangerous.

At this time, ACA is falling in the 3-6" range in both models, with up to a foot along the TN border and over to the I-81 corridor. Heavier snow potential will be very close to ACA, represented by the black "*" (click on pics to enlarge).  There is also a nice 10-12" zone showing up from Troy, Albemarle up through Burlington, Durham and into VA...lots of places will be affected by this storm.

1AM WEDNESDAY RUN (NAM)

1AM WEDNESDAY RUN (GFS)

 Sunshine is supposed to be back by Friday and through the weekend...good for melting by day, and refreezing by night.

Bob