Sunday, January 9, 2011

MONDAY STORM: Outlook

Suffice it to say this next storm is coming in on top of snowy, icy conditions in many areas.  Winds and bitter cold moved our snow around, but 9-11" fell toward the top of ACA, with 4-6" lower.  Low of 3 degrees this morning at the house...ouch.


WINTER STORM WARNING FOR ACA through 6am TUESDAY


Flakes could start around midnight, but heavy action gets cranking well before sunrise Monday.  Looking for another 4-8" snow for ACA (almost a repeat of last system), which blends the NAM's 6-8" with the GFS's 4-6" outlook.  Snow falls all day Monday, heavily at times...I have to hedge with my gut in that amounts could be higher for us, much higher, and in this evening's update I'll decide which side of the fence I'll get off on.  This is a huge storm that will affect a lot of southern real estate, and affect many more people...and the slightest changes in this storm could have huge effects on travel, power outages, etc.


The most uncomfortable part of this forecast is what happens Monday night.  Warmer air aloft gets closer to the surface, and although our thermometers should all read 30 or below, the cold layer may become thin enough that we see a protracted period of freezing rain and sleet mixing in with the snow.  Not thick enough for ice storm warning criteria, but even the slightest glaze to the snow will make for treacherous driving conditions, no matter how much Larry plows.  Good salting will help, though.  Bitter cold moves in behind this storm, and temps will be slow to rise by the end of the week, thanks to all the snow cover we'll have.


I am leaving later today for Charlotte, where I'll be working for my former station during this storm.  I will update this blog as I always do, but will not be able to provide any pictures and storm info from my house.  It's been wonderful to have everyone's input on roads and snow totals and conditions, etc.  Thanks in advance for keeping those reports coming.  More and more are reading and relying on the information we can cull.


Stay warm!
bob

3 comments:

  1. It's 10 degrees and nothing has stirred on the road since my vivil started at 8 am. Will report if something moves.

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  2. John Stoeckel made it down the mountain about 9:30. At this time there appears to be plenty of surface grip. It's 13 degrees

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