Friday, January 7, 2011

SNOW: 630a FRI update

11:50pm NOTE: Enjoy while we have it...34 degrees at 3775' and my 'test' area is melting the 1" picked up...later this afternoon this will all change, but will continue to help our roads stay 'ok' for now...
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This morning, the totals are upped some for both models as this potential for accumulating snow for ACA continues through Saturday, now.  After a minimal break Sunday, even more snow dumps Monday and Tuesday. Snow amounts will simply be a running total from here on out.


WINTER STORM WARNING in effect through 6pm Saturday.
NAM for ACA: 4-6"
GFS for ACA:  6-8"


I've got to up ACA to the 5-8" range.  Smokies peaks will go the 12" range.  Even valley locations look to get 4-5" this go 'round. 


Digital hourly forecasts call ACA's snow "likely" through 7a Saturday before going to "chance" snow showers; however, it puts in the highest wording level "definte" from 11a through 6p today FYI.


This is a NW flow event, typical of what we've seen this winter, high amounts on the TN border then tailing off south and east.  Monday and Tuesday, the game changes in a massive way, so it appears.  


Just for the fun of it, the overnight NAM is clearly seeing Monday, as the snow amounts on the SE edge of the Blue Ridge are in the 18" range (Caeser's Head to Highlands to Clayton).  Tryon/Polk County in the 14" range.  Charlotte in the 6" range.  Hickory in the 8" range.  Greenville-Spartanburg nearing 10".  All that paints a story of moisture being brought in from the south and east instead of the NW.  "Ugly" with a capital U, if that verifies. 


Bottom line: travel will be a snowy, icy mess for a long time in Haywood County, and other areas, too.  Temps stay below freezing through at least next Friday, so not much else for some to do but hunker down.

4 comments:

  1. Just got off the phone with Al...Larry's PM salting yesterday helped a lot, but he still found slick spots and crept down in 4WD low. I think I speak for many of us that some ACA residents simply are impatient and drive too fast for conditions when they get into trouble. Keep it slow, steady, and safe. Here at 750a, snow still on the light side, just about 1/2"...assume road conditions will deteriorate throughout the day

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  2. news from the blue top:
    just went home at 1230, road is clear to my place, but slick above. my forester did great without chains. ~36 degrees per the subaru's thermometer. roads clear to clyde, but snow falling...

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  3. 2pm...about 3 additional inches here so far. The roadway is melting some, as the temp is great for the salt to work. Going to take a break and clear my deck for now.

    Al

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  4. 215pm: I just came back from an hour of errands and in front wheel drive, no chains, made it to the mirror corner before slipping. Put on chains to get up Staymon and had a hard time making it. While roads aren't icy (yet), the slushy wet conditions are extremely slippery once it piles up. Deck temp is 33, was 35 when I left, and stiff WNW winds in Waynesville where I was tells me cold air getting ready to change our game this afternoon. My first couple of inches melted, but this will be changing soon.
    bob

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