Well, the afternoon data sets are in, and ACA is simply in line for a 6-10" snow per both models, with the majority of the snow falling all day Monday. Typically, we go higher at our top, but this is a totally different system in that the flow aloft will be from the E, NOT the NW as we've seen so far this year. Most of us have a NNE exposure, so to some degree the higher amounts up high might be blocked a little by peaks and ridges to our south side. I still think we could see a 6-12", though, with 6" for the entrance area and up to a foot up high if the exposure is right. Eeegads. The National Weather Service is giving ACA a general 5-9" scenario, so I'm comfortable with that.
Should be some impressive snow amounts toward the eastern Appalachian ramparts near Highlands and Toxaway, and into the SC Foothills and Piedmont...12"+ may well show up around Anderson, SC, also, and points east. Somebody somewhere well east of ACA will most likely get clobbered.
ONSET of snow is 'likely' by 4am, and 'definite' by 6am, per a digital model that does pretty well. Assume roads will quickly be deteriorating Monday morning, with periods of heavy snow. The 'definite' nomenclature seems to hang through the day until it gets dark...and then the second and equally bigger concern will be freezing rain/drizzle in place Monday night. A glaze on snow is nasty, and that seems to be our fare ahead, the freezing drizzle window being at it's 'worst' through 5-6am Tuesday. After that, much colder air comes in, and snow showers from the NW start kicking up, which may well add another couple of inches later Tuesday through at least the first half of Wednesday. Bitter cold lows in the single digits will end out our week.
"Oh, Death, where is thy Spring?"
Lots of snow, then a crusty icy layer, then a little more snow...a lovely layer cake we'd just as soon give to somebody else. Maybe we should call this the Fruitcake Storm of 2011...(apologies to those few who adore fruitcake!).
I'll update in the morning, pretty early. Thanks in advance to the reports some of you will be sending, be it snow, roads, etc. as I'm on the hoof and can't look out my window at my Siberian landscape.
And if you see Yaks going by two by two, please don't let me know....
bob
No comments:
Post a Comment